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6 sources · updated 5h ago

Welfareukraine

EBRD lowers Ukraine's GDP growth forecast to 1.5% for 2026

First reported by “УНІАН”

The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has reduced its GDP growth forecast for Ukraine in 2026 to 1.5% due to Russian attacks on ports and vessels in the Black Sea. The forecast for 2027 has also been lowered to 2.5%. Grain export volumes from Ukraine have fallen to levels seen in April 2022.

  • GDP growth forecast for 2026 lowered from 2.2% to 1.5%
  • GDP growth forecast for 2027 lowered from 4% to 2.5%
  • Grain export volumes have fallen to April 2022 levels
  • Reason for the downgrade - Russian attacks on ports
  • Estimates were changed from June 2023

6 sources3/7 blocsnot represented: public, state, official, anonymous

Share of reports by bloc
BlocShareCount
Independent66%4 items
Commentators17%1 item
Oligarch-owned17%1 item

How we count blocs — Methodology

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      • УНІАНOligarch-owned

        ЄБРР погіршив прогноз для економіки України: до $5 млрд експорту під загрозою

      • ЄБРР погіршив прогноз зростання ВВП України у 2026р до 1,5%, у 2027р – до 2,5%

      • Forbes UkraineIndependent

        ЄБРР знизив прогноз зростання ВВП України з 2,2% до 1,5% у 2026 році

      • Delo.uaIndependent

        Удари по портах гальмують економіку: ЄБРР знизив прогноз зростання України до 1,5% — Delo.ua

      • ЄБРР погіршив прогноз зростання ВВП України на поточний рік через російські атаки

      • ЄБРР погіршив прогноз для України: війна та атаки на порти гальмують економіку

      The tone spread between blocs is 0.13: below 0.3, so the blocs' framing is not compared.

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