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Foreign policyukraine

EBRD lowers Ukraine’s economic growth forecast due to Russian attacks

The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development has lowered its forecast for Ukraine’s real GDP growth in 2026 to 1.5%. This decision was driven by increased Russian attacks on energy and other critical infrastructure, as well as the blockade of Black Sea ports.

In brief

  • The EBRD has lowered its GDP growth forecast for Ukraine for 2026.
  • The GDP growth forecast for Ukraine has been reduced to 1.5% in 2026.
  • Russian attacks negatively impact Ukraine’s economic activity.
  • The blockade of Black Sea ports also affected the forecast.
  • The GDP growth forecast for 2027 is 2.5%.
Covered by 2 of 7 media groups
  • Independent5
  • Publicno reports
  • Commentatorsno reports
  • Oligarch-owned1
  • Stateno reports
  • Officialno reports
  • Anonymousno reports

Not covered by: public, commentators, state, official, anonymous.

What are media groups?

Share of reports by media group
GroupShareCount
Independent86%6 items
Oligarch-owned14%1 item

How we count media groups — Methodology

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